Tuesday, July 18, 2006

National League Playoff Odds
because everyone is in it

Like my American League predictions, these odds are guesses. I didn't use any fancy formulas to get these percentages...just my knoledge of baseball. Here goes:

NL East

Mets 90%
Braves 7%
Phillies 3%
Marlins 0%
Nationals 0%

NL Central

Cardinals 65%
Reds 15%
Brewers 10%
Astros 10%
"Lovable" Losers 0%
Pirates (of the Caribbean) 0%

NL West

Everyone 20%

OK, those are the odds I believe for the DIVISION WINNER ONLY in each division. Assuming everything stays the same, here is the wildcard predictions...

Wild Card

Reds 40%
Brewers 30%
Astros 20%
Braves 5%
Phillies 3%
Marlins 2%
Everyone in the NL West 0%

I am serious about the NL West. When, in one division, every team is just ok, you're not going to have a wildcard winner. Everyone in the NL West has a good chance at winning the division, but I guarantee that NONE of them will win the wildcard. I will review these predictions come playoff time.

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